WMO expects higher average temperatures this quarter but not El Niño

The months of March, April and May will record higher temperatures than the historical average, but the situation is unlikely to be aggravated by the El Niño weather phenomenon, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported Monday.

The periodic report on the incidence of the El Niño and La Niña phenomena indicated that the probability of the first of these cycles occurring between March and May is 35%, while for the second it is only 5%.

El Niño is a natural phenomenon related to fluctuations in the surface temperature of the oceans and changes in atmospheric circulation, which usually implies an increase in global temperature and can influence natural disasters such as droughts, floods and torrential rains.

La Niña produces an opposite effect, reducing average temperatures.

The year 2016 was the warmest in history, and it was precisely influenced by the incidence of El Niño, although the second with higher temperatures was last 2019, in which this phenomenon had no influence.

The effects of El Niño are aggravated by global warming that has produced the action of man through greenhouse gases.


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