The National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States predicted for Friday the formation of the first hurricane of this season, "Barry", which, according to a trajectory pattern, would touch earth somewhere in the US Gulf Coast from Mexico next weekend.
In a bulletin released at 11.00 am in Miami (15.00 GMT), the NHC is analyzing a system of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico, with a high probability of being a tropical depression on Thursday morning, a tropical storm that same day and a hurricane on the Friday, as it gets stronger.
At the time of the bulletin the system was located about 170 miles (270 km) east-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi and moved at almost 8 miles per hour (13 km / h) in a west-southwest direction with maximum sustained winds of 30 miles per hour (45 km / h).
Meteorologists advise to pay attention to the course of the system to all those located in a coastal arc that goes from the coast of Texas to the "Panhandle" of Florida (northwest of the state) and warn of the possibility of floods of the sea, floods and rains in different points in that area.
According to the NHC, on Thursday afternoon it will turn to the west, on Friday it will turn to the west-northwest and early on Saturday to the northwest.
During the weekend it will approach the central part of the US Gulf coast strengthened. The trajectory pattern shows the hurricane cone covering much of the Louisiana coast and the Texas border.
The odds of forming a tropical storm or hurricane in the next 48 hours are high, almost 100 percent and the five-day forecasts indicate the same.
The hurricane season in the Atlantic basin officially began on June 1, but earlier, on May 20, a subtropical storm, "Andrea", was formed in south-east Bermuda, which weakened immediately and caused no damage.
Also in the season of 2018 another storm formed, "Alberto", a few days before the official start of the season.
Alberto was a subtropical storm, which means that it is a hybrid between cold core (winter) and hot core (summer) storms.
According to the updated forecast of the Colorado State University (CSU). released this Tuesday, July 9, the activity of the current hurricane season in the Atlantic will be "almost average", with 14 named storms.
That means two more than the annual average and one more than those indicated in the forecast released in April of this year, when they predicted an activity "slightly below average".
Of the 14 storms, six will become hurricanes (five were foreseen in April), two of which will be of a higher category, that is, above category 3 on the Saffir / Simpson scale of a maximum of five.
The report notes that "the surface of the tropical Atlantic Ocean does not look particularly favorable for an active season" and is that probably the El Niño phenomenon, currently weak, will strengthen during the peak of the season, between the months of August and September, what will contribute to "an almost average season".
. (tagsToTranslate) Meteorologists (t) USA (t) hurricane (t) Gulf (t) Mexico