July 30, 2021

These are the possible trajectories of the hurricane 'Leslie' – The Province

These are the possible trajectories of the hurricane 'Leslie' - The Province

Aemet Canarias has published on its Twitter account a GIF in which it shows the possible trajectories of Hurricane Leslie, according to the probabilistic model of the European Center. "This animation gives an estimate of the uncertainty of the current forecasts", clarifies the State Meteorological Agency in said publication.

Leslie, the erratic tropical storm that since late September swarms the Atlantic Ocean aimlessly, reached this Wednesday, October 10, the category of hurricane and, for the time being, its evolution seems to distance it from the peninsula and the Canary Islands. The last update of his career, made a few hours ago, indicates that Leslie has made a turn towards the west that would make the hurricane no longer affect this Archipelago or Madeira.

Leslie has a long way to go in his approach to our coasts and therefore many circumstances can occur that modify his trajectory, has advanced to EFE Rubén del Campo, spokesman of the Meteorology Agency (Aemet), to detail that it is still in the Atlantic center.

This morning Leslie has gone from being a tropical storm to becoming a category 1 hurricane due, among other factors, to its displacement to much warmer waters that will provide the necessary energy to intensify still more, the meteorologist has warned.

The possible arrival of Leslie to the Spanish coasts, should it happen, it would not be before next Sunday, Del Campo insisted, who assures that it will most likely not affect us because the latest update from the National Hurricane Center of Florida (CNH) confirms the "retrograde movement" "from Leslie westward away from the Canary Islands.

"Now the important thing is to see if that prediction is confirmed in the coming hours and finally rule out its possible influence on Spain," said the spokesman.

For Rubén del Campo, the "possible approach" of Leslie would cause especially strong maritime weather accompanied by strong gusts of wind because, for now, precipitation probability maps do not forecast very intense rains.

At this point – he explained – that when these tropical systems are produced, it is normal for them to interact with Danas (Isolated Depression in High Levels) and troughs, which makes it difficult to predict a few days and even a few hours, therefore, -ha insisted – the most important thing at this moment is to specify the prediction.

" You have to be vigilant and vigilant to the periods of intensification and degradation of Leslie and how he will behave throughout his career, "he underlined.

The Miami Hurricane Center, which is responsible for the prediction of this type of cyclones on the Atlantic, said on its website that the trajectory still can not be determined with sufficient precision due to the "very high discrepancies" generate climate models. "

It is the coincidence that, during this same week and a year ago, the hurricane Ophelia circulated relatively close to the Iberian Peninsula coinciding with the wave of fires in Portugal and Galicia, it was practically in the same place of the Atlantic Ocean where today it is located "Leslie."

On the other hand, and according to data from the Aemet, Leslie, who It has been running on the Atlantic since September 23, she is not alone because right now in oceanic waters there is a hurricane, Michael, and a tropical storm, Nadine, newly formed to the southwest of Cape Verde.

Category 1 hurricanes usually register winds between 119/153 kilometers per hour and when touching land they do not usually cause damage to the structures of buildings, only in unmoored houseboats, shrubs and trees, as well as floods in coastal areas and ports , according to the international hurricane classification scale.


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