The European Union Space Surveillance and Tracking Service (EUSST) is monitoring the runaway chinese rocket, but it is unlikely that remnants of it will fall in populated areas of the Earth.
The rocket (a Long March 5B) was used last week by China to launch into space one of the modules of your future space station, and it is expected that throughout the weekend it will impact the Earth’s atmosphere, which has caused concern about the probable fall to Earth of some of its debris and the activation of different space surveillance services.
Among these, the EU Space Surveillance and Tracking Service, an international consortium of which several space agencies and public bodies from numerous European countries are part, and among them the Center for Technological and Industrial Development (CDTI), dependent on the Ministry of Spanish Science and Innovation.
The Minister of Science and Innovation, Pedro Duque, has assured on his Twitter account that most of the remains “will disintegrate during their re-entry into the atmosphere”, and has explained that Spain is providing data from its radar at the Morón base de la Frontera (Seville) to the consortium in charge of monitoring the rocket.
This consortium has been monitoring the return to the Earth’s atmosphere of the gigantic Chinese space object, which has an estimated mass of between 17 and 21 tons and a size of approximately 30 meters, and has observed that these dimensions make it one of the largest chunks that return to Earth and that therefore “deserves careful monitoring. “.
The network of sensors and radars of this space surveillance service is observing the object “closely” and has verified that it is falling, and has reduced its window of entry into the Earth’s atmosphere to a period comprised between May 8 and 9.
The data that this consortium has published openly reveal that the object has an inclination that suggests in principle that the remains or “debris” of the same would fall in a region of the Earth covered for the most part by the ocean or uninhabited areas, and has asserted that the statistical probability of a land impact in populated areas “is low”.
It also specifies that the predictions are still very uncertain since the object is out of control, and the most approximate estimates of where these debris would fall will only be possible to make a few hours before the object’s actual re-entry into the Earth’s atmosphere.