Sat. Apr 4th, 2020

The CIS maintains the distance of 12 points from the PSOE on the PP without taking into account the coronavirus crisis



The distance between the PSOE and the PP remains at 12 points one more message. In fact, it is reinforced to 12.3 points, according to the CIS barometer for the month of March. However, the first three parties of the Chamber, (socialists, popular and the extreme right Vox) improve their results in this survey, at the expense of United We Can and Citizens, which are left around one point each. But it should be borne in mind that this survey was conducted days before the coronavirus crisis broke out, so it does not take this effect into account.

The distance between the PSOE and the PP remains at 12 points one more message. In fact, it is reinforced to 12.3 points, according to the barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) in March. However, the first three parties of the Chamber, (socialists, popular and the extreme right Vox) improve their results in this survey, at the expense of United We Can and Citizens, which are left around one point each. But it should be borne in mind that this survey was conducted days before the coronavirus crisis broke out, so it does not take this effect into account.



According to the data, the PSOE would increase its intention to vote by one point (from 30.9% to 31.9%), while the popular ones would do so by half a point (from 18.9% to 19.6%). ), and Vox would be even stronger than the popular ones, adding 1.4 points (from 13.4% to 14.8%). The improvement in these three parties contrasts with the decrease in the other partner of the coalition, Unidas Podemos, which would lose 0.7% in a month (from 13.6% to 12.9%), and the decrease in Citizens, who left 0.9 points (from 8.1% to 7.2%).

The Catalan independence parties are also not exempt from the electoral cost. ERC, JxCat and CUP suffer declines. Republicans lose almost one point (from 3.3% to 2.4%), post-convergents leave 0.6% (from 1.8% to 1.2%) and the CUP loses half a point (from 1% to 0.5%).

This barometer for the month of March. This is the third electoral projection since the inauguration of the socialist Pedro Sánchez, but the second after the inauguration of the 22 ministers of the coalition government. However, the fieldwork, which is normally carried out the first 10 days of the month, does not take into account the assessment of citizens regarding the Executive’s management of the coronavirus crisis, which has led the Government to decree the state of alarm. and criticism for having acted late, since the 3,912 interviews carried out took place between March 1 and 13.



This barometer evaluates the action of the Government for practically two months, which have been marked by the Catalan question, the friction between the partners of the central Executive (PSOE and United We Can) on the occasion of the approval of some rules and the business of the king emeritus, as well as the response of the Central Executive to attacks by the opposition as a consequence of the so-called ‘Delcygate’, the presence of the Venezuelan vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, at the Barajas airport for a few hours.

In the February barometer, the socialists raise their distance from the PP to 12 points, one and a half more than those that separated them in January. Along with the socialist rise, that study revealed several trends to take into account, practically all falling. Especially that of Pablo Casado’s party, which was already down one point in a month (going from 19.9% ​​to 18.9%), but practically two with respect to the percentage of vote obtained in the 10N elections (20, 82%).

Citizens experienced the biggest change in February, an improvement of 1.6%, from 6.5% in January to 8.1% in February. While for United Podemos, the partners of the socialists in the coalition Executive, the cost of government responsibility was limited to two tenths, going from 13.8% in the January barometer to 13.6% in February. Those of Pablo Iglesias remained as the fourth political force behind Vox, which did not vary its results (13.4%).





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