The incidence of new coronavirus cases it continued to decline in the Canary Islands in the last week of October, while it continued to rise in the whole of Spain, a divergent pattern between the archipelago and the country’s average that began on September 7.
In that day, The archipelago registered the highest figure of this second wave in cumulative incidence in the previous fourteen days per 100,000 inhabitants, 193.09, below the average for the whole of Spain, which was then at 229.83.
The difference is that from that Monday, September 7, in the Canary Islands the accumulated incidence began to decline to the current 78.67 cases, and for the moment it continues the downward trend, but that of the whole of Spain continued its upward path to 485, 28, and for now keeps it.
A week earlier, on October 23, the average Spanish incidence was 361.66 and the Canary Islands 81.41.
On September 7, the Spanish average was 19% higher than the Canary Islands; on Friday of last week, according to the latest data provided by the Ministry of Health, the difference had risen to 533%.
The weekly divergence has always been upward in October: on October 2, the first Friday of the month, it was 145%; on October 9 it was 179%; on October 16, at 262%; and on October 23, that percentage was at 344%.
From this first week of November, most of the autonomous communities have taken restrictive mobility measures that have not occurred in the Canary Islands in order to reduce the incidence of the coronavirus.
The objective set by the Government of Spain is to reduce to 25 cases the accumulated incidence in the previous fourteen days per 100,000 inhabitants, one of the eight factors used to place the country and each region in one or another of the risk levels.
Considering this single factor, the extreme risk level would be more than 250 cases, the high risk between 150 and 250, the medium risk between 50 and 150, the low risk between 25 and 50 and the “new normal” stage for below 25.
According to these parameters, the Canary Islands begin November 2020 in a medium risk situation, with a downward trend, while Spain as a whole remains in extreme risk, with an upward trend.
In this second wave, taking into account this accumulated incidence, Spain stopped being in the “new normality” to begin to scale risk factors on July 20; that day he went to low risk. On July 29 it entered into medium risk, on August 24 into high risk and on September 15 into extreme risk, where it remains.
In the case of the Canary Islands, the new normal was lost on August 13, to enter low risk, reached the medium risk level on August 18, went to high risk on August 31 and fell back to medium risk on September 18, level at which it continues, taking into account the accumulated incidence at 14 days.