Germany you will need them to arrive 266,000 migrants annually the country until 2060 to compensate for the aging of the population and meet the needs of labor, according to a study presented on Tuesday by the Bertelsmann Foundation. Thus, it is expected that 114,000 will arrive from the European Union and another 152,000 from third countries each year.
Although the authors of the study start from the basis that the rate
birth it will increase and that the number of people who will work after the age of 60 will go further; migrants would still be needed to cover the labor needs. Even with an increase in the retirement age to 70 years and the greater presence of women in the labor market.
"Migration is one of the keys to future success", point out from the Bertelsmann Foundation
"The migration it is one of the keys to future success. Germany needs skilled workers, also from regions outside Europe, "he said. Jörg
Dräger, member of the executive board of the Foundation.
The digitization, according to the study, will not reduce labor needs but, on the contrary, will increase the demand for highly qualified workers. In the long term there is a reduction in the shortage of personnel with university training, but on the other hand, the situation of workers with intermediate technical training will be worse.
European migration will not serve the needs of the country
European migration will not be enough to cover German needs, especially if we take into account that neighboring countries will also be affected by demographic change. In addition, incentives for workers from other European countries to move to Germany will decrease as economic convergence advances within the EU.